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Decoding Churn: Unlocking Growth with Churn Prediction KPIs in the Telecom Industry (Part 2)

  • Writer: Emmanuel Kalikatzaros
    Emmanuel Kalikatzaros
  • May 28, 2023
  • 4 min read

Updated: Mar 17, 2024

To effectively combat churn, telecom companies are turning to a diverse range of predictive factors. In this article, we explore an array of additional churn prediction indicators that go beyond traditional metrics. By considering factors such as length of tenure, social media sentiment, life events, app engagement, network quality, service-related complaints, competitive pricing and promotions, and web behavior, telecom companies can gain deeper insights into customer behavior and proactively implement targeted retention strategies. It's crucial to adapt these predictors to individual company contexts, continually refine the churn prediction workflow, and stay at the forefront of customer satisfaction.


Creating a churn prediction workflow involves identifying the most common churn predictors that indicate when a customer is likely to churn. While specific predictors can vary based on the company and dataset, here are some common indicators to consider:


1. Usage Patterns:

Analyzing a customer's usage patterns can provide insights into their level of engagement and satisfaction. Declining usage or a significant drop in call duration, data consumption, or service utilization may indicate potential churn.


2. Billing and Payment Behavior:

Customers who consistently make late payments, exhibit frequent billing disputes, or show signs of financial distress may be at a higher risk of churning.


3. Complaints and Support Interactions:

Tracking customer complaints, inquiries, and support interactions can reveal dissatisfaction and frustration. A higher number of complaints or repeated requests for assistance may signal an increased likelihood of churn.


4. Non-usage of Additional Services:

Customers who have access to additional services or features but do not utilize them may be less engaged and more likely to churn. For example, if a customer has access to a voicemail service but has never activated it, it could indicate a lack of interest or engagement.


5. Contract Duration:

Customers nearing the end of their contract duration, especially those on fixed-term agreements, may be more likely to evaluate alternatives or consider switching providers. Monitoring contract expiration dates can help identify customers who may be at risk of churn.


6. Price Sensitivity:

Customers who frequently seek discounts, downgrade their plans, or switch to lower-priced options may be more price-sensitive and prone to exploring competitive offerings. Monitoring price-related behaviors can help identify those at risk of churning due to pricing concerns.


7. Demographic and Socioeconomic Factors:

Certain demographic and socioeconomic factors can contribute to churn propensity. For instance, customers in a specific age group, geographical area, or income bracket may exhibit higher churn rates. Analyzing these factors alongside other predictors can provide valuable insights.


8. Competitive Landscape:

Monitoring competitive activities, such as new offerings or aggressive marketing campaigns by competitors, can help anticipate potential churn. Customers who receive competitive offers or express interest in alternative providers may require targeted retention efforts.


9. Length of Tenure:

Customers who have been with the company for a longer duration may have developed stronger brand loyalty and are less likely to churn compared to newer customers. Monitoring the length of tenure can help identify customers who are more likely to stay or have a lower churn risk.


10. Social Media Sentiment:

Analyzing customer sentiment on social media platforms can provide insights into their overall satisfaction and likelihood of churn. Negative mentions, complaints, or expressions of dissatisfaction on social media channels can be early warning signs of potential churn.


11. Life Events:

Significant life events such as relocation, marriage, divorce, or retirement can impact a customer's telecom needs and influence their decision to churn. Monitoring and considering these life events can help predict churn and tailor retention strategies accordingly.


12. App Engagement:

For telecom companies with mobile apps, tracking customer engagement with the app can provide valuable insights. Customers who have stopped using the app or have significantly reduced their app interactions may be at a higher risk of churn.


13. Network Quality:

Network-related issues, such as frequent call drops, slow data speeds, or poor coverage, can lead to customer dissatisfaction and ultimately churn. Monitoring network quality indicators and correlating them with customer behavior can help identify customers who are more likely to churn.


14. Service-related Complaints:

Analyzing customer complaints specifically related to service quality, technical issues, or service outages can indicate a higher propensity for churn. Customers who frequently report service-related problems may be more likely to explore alternatives.


15. Competitive Pricing and Promotions:

Tracking competitors' pricing strategies, promotional offers, and discounts can help predict customer churn. Customers who show an increased interest in competitor pricing or actively compare prices are more likely to consider switching providers.


16. Web Behavior:

Analyzing customer web behavior, such as browsing patterns, searches for alternative providers, or engagement with competitor websites, can indicate a higher likelihood of churn. Monitoring web activity can help identify customers who are actively researching alternatives.


By integrating these churn predictors into a workflow, you can develop a proactive churn prediction system. This may involve using machine learning algorithms to analyze historical customer data, identify patterns, and generate churn risk scores for individual customers. These scores can then be used to prioritize retention efforts and implement personalized strategies to mitigate churn risks effectively. Regular evaluation and refinement of the churn prediction workflow based on feedback and performance analysis are essential to ensure its effectiveness in reducing churn and improving customer retention.


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